Monday, October 09, 2006

Los Angeles real estate prices stabilizing?

In recent months many home buyers have pulled out of the real estate market, deciding to wait for a few months to see what happens. To be sure, more homes have hit the market followed by some price depreciation, however, is the big price correction still to follow?

Realestatejournal.com points out that while real estate data has shown declines in recent months, many real estate reports, such as one by Harvard, point out that declines of 5% are extremely rare and require severe overbuilding and massive job loss - neither of which have occurred in the Los Angeles area. Consequently, predicting the real estate market is like predicting the stock market - it's almost impossible to predict.

Then, last Friday, Allen Greenspan noted that the "worst may be over" for the real estate market (more).

Consequently, if the job market in the Los Angeles area stays strong and mortgage rates stay at their current levels, or even drop, real estate prices might just stabilize. Sure home values might not appreciate much, but they won't depreciate much either, until something causes the next real estate boom or bust.

Again, predicting that is almost impossible.

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